Ben Habib argues that the Polish economy is a direct beneficiary of the “carry trade” resulting from continued quantitative easing, and that investment in its property market is an obvious way to benefit from this. However, fast-growing markets can be difficult to navigate and a two-tier market for commercial property exists in Poland. Most of the weight of money is focused on large lot sizes with long leases, where yields are tight. As lease lengths shorten, the capital value of such property deteriorates. We tend to avoid this segment of the market, focusing instead on property where we can add value by buying at lower prices off lower rents, and extending leases and refurbishing where necessary. When leverage is added, double digit per annum returns are easily achievable from rental income alone, with the potential of a further boost from capital gain.
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